Elaine

With the new US administration that has expressed a more aggressive foreign policy approach, specifically in regards to China, the PLA will be hesitant to make any moves toward Taiwan.

Because, especially post-ceasefire, I don't think Iran would want to re-enter destabilization in the Middle East.

With election fraudulence and lack of transparency still running rampant in Venezuelan elections, I think there is a high probability Maduro will retain his control over Venezuela as President. 

Despite consistent diplomatic visits and negotiations, investing funding and construction resources into building a military base seems too much of stretch, particularly during considerable economic decline.