Gas prices have remained low with no spikes
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Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Badge
Star Commenter - Jul 2025
Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-3%)
Yes
100%
(+3%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Same reasons as prior
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(-7%)
Yes
97%
(+7%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Seems less likely with current trends about 1/3rd way through the month
Files
Why might you be wrong?
External event causing prices to skyrocket
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(-5%)
Yes
95%
(+5%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Previous rationale + ongoing concerns with tariffs
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Same reasons as last time
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(-1%)
Yes
99%
(+1%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Length of time needed for talks on top of recent events (and low probability of talks with intended outcome)
Files
Why might you be wrong?
External event or information I'm not privy to influencing a change
Files
New Badge
Star Commenter - Jun 2025
Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-3%)
Yes
100%
(+3%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
Timeline is now tomorrow with specifications in question and it still needs to go to the House even if it gets votes late this evening and into the morning.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Same reasons as before.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Yes
90%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Prior reasons listed + proximity to end date of question
Why might you be wrong?
Same reasons as before