The RSF strategy is to divide the country
-0.000169
Relative Brier Score
16
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| Comments | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
100%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
the army implodes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
71%
(0%)
Yes
29%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
95%
(0%)
Yes
5%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
80%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 17, 2025 to May 17, 2027
20%
(0%)
No
Nov 17, 2025 to May 17, 2027
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 23, 2025 12:12PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Oct 23, 2025 to Apr 23, 2026
100%
No
Oct 23, 2025 to Apr 23, 2026
Why do you think you're right?
Its outside of there plan
Files
Why might you be wrong?
The PRC may sense a chance to strike early
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
85%
(0%)
Yes
15%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
This is in line with bi partisan policy
Why might you be wrong?
it happens later