Confirmed previous forecast
-0.001596
Relative Brier Score
17
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 91 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 22 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will the European “Coalition of the Willing” deploy forces to Ukraine in 2025?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 31, 2025 to Jun 30, 2026
99%
(0%)
No
Dec 31, 2025 to Jun 30, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 31, 2025 to Jun 30, 2026
100%
(0%)
No
Dec 31, 2025 to Jun 30, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
99%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Almost no possibility. The ceasefire talks are effectively stalled and won’t advance before the end of the year.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
I put 1% just in case something unexpected
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 1, 2025 02:34AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 1, 2025 to May 1, 2026
99%
(0%)
No
Nov 1, 2025 to May 1, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 1, 2025 02:34AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 1, 2025 to May 1, 2026
100%
(0%)
No
Nov 1, 2025 to May 1, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 1, 2025 12:01AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Oct 1, 2025 to Apr 1, 2026
99%
(0%)
No
Oct 1, 2025 to Apr 1, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files