What will the U.S. annual inflation rate be in July 2025?
Started
May 23, 2025 08:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
Closed Aug 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
Topics
Seasons
The U.S. annual inflation rate for the 12 months ending April 2025 was 2.3%. By comparison, the inflation rate was 2.4% for March 2025 and 2.8% for February 2025. In prior years, the inflation rate was 2.9% for July 2024 and 3.2% for July 2023 (US Inflation Calculator).
Resolution Criteria:
This question will resolve based on the 12-month percentage change in Consumer Price Index (annual inflation rate) for July 2025, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The Consumer Price Index for July 2025 is expected to be released on 12 August 2025.
Resolution Notes
The 12-month change in the Consumer Price Index was 2.7% for July 2025
https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 2.3% | 2% | |
| More than or equal to 2.3% but less than 2.6% | 13% | |
| More than or equal to 2.6% but less than 2.9% | 69% | |
| More than or equal to 2.9% but less than 3.2% | 15% | |
| More than or equal to 3.2% | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 142 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 61 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 341 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 233 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
