« Back to topics

Emerging Technology

Closing

Jan 01, 2026 04:59AM UTC (20 days)

Forecasting breakthroughs, regulations, and risks at the cutting edge of AI, biotechnology, and other transformative technologies.

Status

Season

Sort By

Filter By

Featured Questions

Crowd Forecast

Will scientists be able to assemble a ribosome in vitro, composed entirely of synthetic proteins and RNA, without the use of cell-derived materials by 2030?

Closing Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC · 39 · 163

36%

Chance

Will any major international non-governmental research funders implement specific policies restricting or requiring oversight of mirror biology research by 31 December 2030?

Closing Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC · 33 · 130

47%

Chance

Will mirror reagents or products be added to the Australia Group export control list or national controlled biological agent lists in the U.S., UK, or Canada by 31 December 2032?

Closing Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC · 20 · 108

29%

Chance

Will mirror organisms be formally addressed as a biosecurity concern in official proceedings of at least one of the following international forums (BWC Review Conference, G7/G20 Health/Science ministerial meetings, WHO forums) by 31 December 2030?

Closing Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC · 25 · 123

64%

Chance

Will government agencies in the U.S., EU, or UK classify mirror biology research under dual-use oversight mechanisms by 31 December 2030?

Closing Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC · 28 · 141

45%

Chance

Will scientists successfully create a synthetic cell from chemically synthesized components by 1 January 2035?

Closing Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC · 44 · 172

10%

Chance