Forecasted Questions
Will the Cambodia-Thailand conflict result in at least 20 deaths between 4 November 2025 and 15 January 2026, inclusive?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 16, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(29 days from now)
Jan 16, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(29 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 11, 2025 05:24PM UTC
(7 days ago)
Dec 11, 2025 05:24PM UTC
(7 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 95% | +5% | +34% |
| No | 0% | 5% | -5% | -34% |
What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups in the U.S. be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 11, 2025 06:15PM UTC
(7 days ago)
Dec 11, 2025 06:15PM UTC
(7 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $350 million | 41% | 42% | -1% | +0% |
| More than or equal to $350 million but less than $450 million | 40% | 37% | +4% | +1% |
| More than or equal to $450 million but less than $550 million | 14% | 16% | -2% | +0% |
| More than or equal to $550 million but less than $650 million | 3% | 5% | -2% | -1% |
| More than or equal to $650 million | 2% | 1% | +1% | +0% |
Will the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index, a measure of U.S. residential home costs, exceed 350 by July 2027?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jul 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 11, 2025 06:42PM UTC
(7 days ago)
Dec 11, 2025 06:42PM UTC
(7 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49% | 54% | -5% | -2% |
| No | 51% | 46% | +5% | +2% |
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
21 Forecasts
21 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 11, 2025 06:45PM UTC
(7 days ago)
Dec 11, 2025 06:45PM UTC
(7 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | 4% | 6% | -2% | +0% |
| Armenia | 0% | 2% | -2% | +0% |
| Georgia | 0% | 3% | -3% | +0% |
| Kazakhstan | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
Will China, Russia, the U.S., or the EU publicly announce new economic or trade sanctions that specifically target a state-owned oil or gas entity in Egypt, Jordan, or the United Arab Emirates (UAE) by 30 June 2026?
Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts
3 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 17, 2025 04:08PM UTC
(22 hours ago)
Dec 17, 2025 04:08PM UTC
(22 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 2% | +1% | 0% |
| No | 97% | 98% | -1% | 0% |
Will government agencies in the U.S., EU, or UK classify mirror biology research under dual-use oversight mechanisms by 31 December 2030?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 17, 2025 04:08PM UTC
(22 hours ago)
Dec 17, 2025 04:08PM UTC
(22 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36% | 45% | -9% | +0% |
| No | 64% | 55% | +9% | +0% |
What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups globally be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 17, 2025 04:10PM UTC
(22 hours ago)
Dec 17, 2025 04:10PM UTC
(22 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $1 billion | 81% | 87% | -6% | +1% |
| More than or equal to $1 billion but less than $1.2 billion | 13% | 9% | +4% | +0% |
| More than or equal to $1.2 billion but less than $1.4 billion | 3% | 2% | +1% | +0% |
| More than or equal to $1.4 billion but less than $1.6 billion | 2% | 1% | +1% | +0% |
| More than or equal to $1.6 billion | 1% | 0% | +1% | 0% |
Will a new multilateral security agreement involving at least three Middle East and North Africa (MENA) states (excluding Iran, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Israel) be publicly announced by 30 June 2026?
Forecast Count:
5 Forecasts
5 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 17, 2025 04:12PM UTC
(22 hours ago)
Dec 17, 2025 04:12PM UTC
(22 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 12% | 9% | +3% | +0% |
| No | 88% | 91% | -3% | +0% |
Will Wagner Group or Africa Corps deploy to Togo or an additional African country before 1 January 2026?
Forecast Count:
14 Forecasts
14 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(14 days from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(14 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Dec 17, 2025 04:14PM UTC
(22 hours ago)
Dec 17, 2025 04:14PM UTC
(22 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Togo | 0% | 4% | -4% | +0% |
| Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations | Answer was correct | |||