236th
Accuracy Rank

Javretro2000

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2025 Season Stats

3.294514

Relative Brier Score

82

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 
Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 13 83 82 151
Comments 0 1 12 12 12
Questions Forecasted 0 13 19 19 42
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 3
 Definitions
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?
Egypt, Jordan and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) tend to be friendly countries towards China, Russia, the United States (US), and the European Union, so its unlikely that any of them will be subject to any kind of sanctions before 30 June 2026.
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Why might you be wrong?

It would be probable that the US wanted to show its power in the Middle East, and in consecuence, it could impose sanctions against a state-owned oil or gas entity in Egypt, Jordan or the UAE within the next few months.

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New Prediction
When will a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict first go into effect?
Javretro2000 made their 2nd forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
1 January 2025 - 31 March 2025
0% (0%)
1 April 2025 - 30 June 2025
0% (0%)
1 July 2025 - 30 September 2025
0% (0%)
1 October 2025 - 31 December 2025
100% (0%)
Not before 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
New Prediction
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Javretro2000 made their 6th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Nov 3, 2025 to May 3, 2026
100% (0%)
No
Nov 3, 2025 to May 3, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will the People's Liberation Army invade, blockade, or attack the main island of Taiwan in the next six months?
Javretro2000 made their 7th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
100% (0%)
Yes
Nov 3, 2025 to May 3, 2026
0% (0%)
No
Nov 3, 2025 to May 3, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Javretro2000 made their 7th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Estonia
0% (0%)
Latvia
0% (0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will North Korea engage in kinetic military action against a South Korean vessel, island, or other asset south of the Northern Limit Line in the Yellow Sea in the next six months?
Javretro2000 made their 7th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Nov 3, 2025 to May 3, 2026
100% (0%)
No
Nov 3, 2025 to May 3, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test within the next six months?
Javretro2000 made their 8th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Nov 3, 2025 to May 3, 2026
100% (0%)
No
Nov 3, 2025 to May 3, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
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