US space force plus Elon musk equals space age jetson future.
1.555308
Relative Brier Score
11
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
| Comments | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
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Most Active Topics:
Emerging Tech - AI
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-20%)
Less than $21.0 billion
0%
(-20%)
More than or equal to $21.0 billion but less than $22.5 billion
0%
(-20%)
More than or equal to $22.5 billion but less than $23.5 billion
0%
(-20%)
More than or equal to $23.5 billion but less than $25.0 billion
100%
(+80%)
More than or equal to $25.0 billion
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Communists are against space economics
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Less than or equal to 1349
29%
Between 1350 and 1499, inclusive
36%
Between 1500 and 1649, inclusive
30%
Between 1650 and 1799, inclusive
5%
More than or equal to 1800
Why do you think you're right?
Measles may return with loss of advertising for vaccine coverage
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Hope
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(0%)
Yes
85%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(0%)
Less than $21.0 billion
20%
(0%)
More than or equal to $21.0 billion but less than $22.5 billion
20%
(0%)
More than or equal to $22.5 billion but less than $23.5 billion
20%
(0%)
More than or equal to $23.5 billion but less than $25.0 billion
20%
(0%)
More than or equal to $25.0 billion
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
Yes
85%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Satellites disappearing would be a step away from peace.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Not everyone wants peace
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Less than $21.0 billion
20%
More than or equal to $21.0 billion but less than $22.5 billion
20%
More than or equal to $22.5 billion but less than $23.5 billion
20%
More than or equal to $23.5 billion but less than $25.0 billion
20%
More than or equal to $25.0 billion
Why do you think you're right?
Space economics is not part of financial valuations in the American system. So it’s valued at a fractional percent of its true value.
Also budget calculus doesn’t exist in America yet.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
China
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Satellite security is the litmus test
Why might you be wrong?
Peace shall prevail