https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deir_ez-Zor_clashes_(2023)
Erdogan and Trump and Putin. Birds of a feather fly together and the recent attack and the looming US election caused me to reevaluate this forecast. 2 key actors are virtually unconstrained and are known to act impulsively.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deir_ez-Zor_clashes_(2023)
There were repeated clashes between SDF and disaffected Arab groups in this area in 2023. Turkey backed the Arab Groups. The US urged calm.
This is a combustible dynamic situation which Turkiye has recent motivation to reignite.
Trump is unpredictable.
But Turkiye is otherwise engaged in Syria as hypothesized earlier
Opposition sources in touch with Turkish intelligence said Turkey had given a green light to the offensive. But Turkish foreign ministry spokesperson Oncu Keceli said Turkey sought to avoid greater instability in the region and had warned that recent attacks undermined de-escalation agreements.
Why do you think you're right?
Senegal and Chad fired France ordered them out of country. Identical pattern to Niger Burkino Faso Central African Republic.
First they fire the French then they get bids from US and Russia Africa Corp.
And if the military Rulers want to get rid of the US, Russia is there, See Niger where US on way out shared a base with Russians on the way in.
So Chad and Senegal are new entrants in extorting military help and Russia does not ask complicated questions or make judgments.
https://www.france24.com/en/africa/20241129-chad-ends-military-cooperation-with-france
https://www.france24.com/en/africa/20241129-senegal-s-leader-says-france-should-close-all-army-bases-in-country
Why might you be wrong?