andurinStar

About:
Show more
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 2 0 2
Comments 0 0 2 0 2
Questions Forecasted 0 0 2 0 2
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions

New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?
With current numbers the demand would fall somewhere between 12,000 and 18,000 Million cubic meters assuming some consistency with linear decrease or holding steady the last quarter exports. Although winter might slightly increase demand, the sanctions for the conflict might continue to drive down demand. Also supply markets are relatively slow in changing suppliers so there would be resistance re-increasing demand.
Files
Why might you be wrong?

 If there is a particularly cold winter or the Russia-Ukraine conflict stabilizes there is reason to believe the, the demand for Russian NG might increase pushing the total demand over the 19,000.

Files
PeterStamp
made a comment:
Only 10 days to go, that´s easily covered by halfway reasonable weather forecasts. No bitter cold winter to be expected in that time frame.
Files
New Badge
andurinStar
earned a new badge:

My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
New Badge
andurinStar
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Current AI research efforts do not lend themselves to achieving AGI, they are methods with known limitations that can be improved upon but not completely eliminated.

Files
Why might you be wrong?

A large breakthrough, with less popular or unknown methods could be achieved that changes the landscape and direction of the research.

Files
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username