Current AI research efforts do not lend themselves to achieving AGI, they are methods with known limitations that can be improved upon but not completely eliminated.
0.054914
Relative Brier Score
2
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0
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Most Active Topics:
Quickfire Forecasts,
Russia-Ukraine War,
Emerging Technology
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Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
99%
No
Why do you think you're right?
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Why might you be wrong?
A large breakthrough, with less popular or unknown methods could be achieved that changes the landscape and direction of the research.
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Why do you think you're right?
Why might you be wrong?
If there is a particularly cold winter or the Russia-Ukraine conflict stabilizes there is reason to believe the, the demand for Russian NG might increase pushing the total demand over the 19,000.