Forecasted Questions
Will scientists successfully create a synthetic cell from chemically synthesized components by 1 January 2035?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 01, 2026 09:25PM UTC
(18 hours ago)
Feb 01, 2026 09:25PM UTC
(18 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 15% | 12% | +3% | 0% |
| No | 85% | 88% | -3% | 0% |
Will mirror reagents or products be added to the Australia Group export control list or national controlled biological agent lists in the U.S., UK, or Canada by 31 December 2032?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 01, 2026 09:25PM UTC
(18 hours ago)
Feb 01, 2026 09:25PM UTC
(18 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40% | 28% | +12% | +0% |
| No | 60% | 72% | -12% | +0% |
Will any country announce a new national carbon tax or emissions trading system by 31 July 2026?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Aug 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 01, 2026 09:28PM UTC
(18 hours ago)
Feb 01, 2026 09:28PM UTC
(18 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43% | 62% | -19% | +0% |
| No | 57% | 38% | +19% | +0% |
Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
45 Forecasts
45 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 01, 2026 09:29PM UTC
(18 hours ago)
Feb 01, 2026 09:29PM UTC
(18 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 20% | 16% | +4% | 0% |
| No | 80% | 84% | -4% | 0% |
What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups globally be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?
Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 01, 2026 09:30PM UTC
(18 hours ago)
Feb 01, 2026 09:30PM UTC
(18 hours ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than $1 billion | 90% | 93% | -3% | +0% |
| More than or equal to $1 billion but less than $1.2 billion | 7% | 6% | +1% | +0% |
| More than or equal to $1.2 billion but less than $1.4 billion | 2% | 1% | +1% | +0% |
| More than or equal to $1.4 billion but less than $1.6 billion | 1% | 0% | +1% | 0% |
| More than or equal to $1.6 billion | 0% | 0% | +0% | 0% |