4th
Accuracy Rank

o-maverick

About:
Show more

-0.349402

Relative Brier Score

97

Forecasts

24

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 5 35 437 97 1499
Comments 5 8 141 46 484
Questions Forecasted 5 29 76 37 235
Upvotes on Comments By This User 2 2 104 24 232
 Definitions
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

I don't see it happening due to the escalation of tensions between the US and China, particularly in the tech field. 

Files
Why might you be wrong?
If Huawei decides to go down that path to rule over O-RAN as well - but I don't see it happening.
Files
New Prediction
o-maverick
made their 10th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
1% (-9%)
Venezuela conducts a ground invasion of Guyana
1% (0%)
Venezuela attacks offshore Guyanese oil wells
0% (0%)
Venezuela relinquishes its claim on Essequibo
0% (0%)
Guyana agrees to cede some or all of Essequibo
Why might you be wrong?

If Maduro sees a window of opportunity... or if Venezuela is attacked and "forced" to retaliate.

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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Confirming my previous forecast.

Files
Why might you be wrong?

If he dies unexpectedly.

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New Prediction
o-maverick
made their 15th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Yes
100% (0%)
No
Why do you think you're right?

According to the junta, it will be as early as December 2025 or January 2026 (if they don't delay it again).

https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/myanmar-junta-chief-announces-election-december-2025-or-january-2026-2025-03-08/

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Why might you be wrong?

I'm not.

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New Badge
o-maverick
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
o-maverick
made their 10th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
1% (-9%)
Yes
99% (+9%)
No
Why do you think you're right?

I'm lowering due to the passage of time. Nvidia is currently in third place, approximately. 450 billion behind Apple,




Files
Why might you be wrong?

If, within the next month, a big turnaround of events happens that NVIDIA's stocks will skyrocket more than those of other companies. That seems highly unlikely to me.

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New Badge
o-maverick
earned a new badge:

Top Forecaster - Mar 2025

Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Badge
o-maverick
earned a new badge:

Power Forecaster - Mar 2025

Earned for making 20+ forecasts in a month.
New Prediction
o-maverick
made their 13th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
1% (0%)
Estonia
1% (0%)
Latvia
1% (0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
o-maverick
made their 12th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
5% (0%)
Moldova
1% (0%)
Armenia
5% (0%)
Georgia
1% (0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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