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Relative Brier Score
119
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24
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Oracle - Platinum



Top Forecaster - Apr 2025



Power Forecaster - Apr 2025



Star Commenter - Apr 2025



Why do you think you're right?
I'm tweaking my forecast a bit down to approximate the pro's average.
Why might you be wrong?
Unexpected things happen.

Why do you think you're right?
Confirming my previous forecast.
Why might you be wrong?
If any of those countries present a realistic chance of joining NATO, then Russia could consider invading them.

Why do you think you're right?
Confirming my previous forecast.
Why might you be wrong?
If any of those countries present a realistic chance of joining NATO, then Russia could consider invading them.

Why do you think you're right?
Confirming my previous forecast.
Why might you be wrong?
If the US-China competition spun off the commercial into a military one, this could happen earlier than expected.

Why do you think you're right?
Tweaking it down a bit. The US-China competition is intensifying.
Why might you be wrong?
The world is a mess. But the US-China competition is certain, and it seems to be driving Huawei away from the Open RAN standards.