https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-025-62778-8
It will happen and with AI, maybe sooner.
0.053793
Relative Brier Score
19
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 3 | 22 | 19 | 318 |
| Comments | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 92 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 65 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
Yes
0%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
If any war breaks out, this event will be delayed.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
100%
No
Why might you be wrong?
If landmines are not ID, casualties can occur.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Estonia
0%
(0%)
Latvia
0%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Oct 18, 2025 01:35AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
50%
(0%)
Yes
Sep 18, 2025 to Mar 18, 2026
50%
(0%)
No
Sep 18, 2025 to Mar 18, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Estonia
0%
(0%)
Latvia
0%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Estonia
0%
(0%)
Latvia
0%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news-and-insights/latest-market-news/2741520-malaysia-unveils-2026-budget-to-implement-carbon-tax
Why might you be wrong?
Only if its delayed.