99th
Accuracy Rank

SOUZACaio

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Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 15 192 192 770
Comments 0 4 54 54 131
Questions Forecasted 0 15 31 31 98
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 4 4 29
 Definitions
New Badge
SOUZACaio
earned a new badge:

Star Commenter - Nov 2025

Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

The signs of last months have showed how the United States have become less engaged in Ukrainian support than in the past, under Bidens' administration. On the other hand, European countries, have needed finance and aid Ukraine more than ever, however they have exposed a kind of disinterest due several reasons: how long the war remains, non-acceptance of territorial fragmentation by Ukraine, high cost of war, small gains of territory by both sides, the human grinder that the war became etc.

So, until the last of this year, is unlikely that a unique European country or some nations jointly delivery HIMARS-compatible to Ukraine because the war profile changed a lot. Drones are cheaper and easier to produce, test and be employed than traditional defensive systems.

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Why might you be wrong?

If Russia increases strongly its attacks against Ukraine using traditional missiles.

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New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
SOUZACaio
made their 20th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Nov 17, 2025 to May 17, 2026
100% (0%)
No
Nov 17, 2025 to May 17, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
SOUZACaio
made their 12th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1% (0%)
Yes
Nov 17, 2025 to May 17, 2026
99% (0%)
No
Nov 17, 2025 to May 17, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
SOUZACaio
made their 12th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1% (0%)
Yes
Nov 17, 2025 to May 17, 2026
99% (0%)
No
Nov 17, 2025 to May 17, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
SOUZACaio
made their 17th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
1% (0%)
Estonia
1% (0%)
Latvia
1% (0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
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