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31st
Accuracy Rank
VidurKapur
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2025 Season
2020 Season
2024 Season
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2023 Season
2022 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Emerging Technology
Forecaster Submissions
Formerly on Foretell
Geopolitical Security
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Quickfire Forecasts
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
Biotech
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Emerging Tech - AI
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
MENA
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mirror Life
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russia-Europe
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Oct 01, 2025 04:00PM UTC
How many German-language disinformation cases originating in pro-Kremlin media will there be between 1 October 2024 and 30 September 2025?
-0.045817
May 31, 2025 05:00PM UTC
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
-0.000522
Feb 14, 2025 06:00PM UTC
What percentage of global semiconductor revenue will come from the Americas region in 2024?
-0.026534
Jan 11, 2025 05:01AM UTC
Will Nicolás Maduro be president of Venezuela on 11 January 2025?
0.000772
Jan 01, 2025 05:01AM UTC
By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?
-0.004308
Jan 01, 2025 05:01AM UTC
Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?
-0.000064
Jan 01, 2025 05:01AM UTC
Will the Houthi movement and Yemen reach a ceasefire that is in effect on 31 December 2024 and lasts at least six months?
-0.000031
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
By 31 December 2024, will uranium enriched to 90% or more be discovered in an Iranian facility, according to the IAEA?
0.000177
Dec 01, 2024 05:01AM UTC
Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?
-0.059552
Nov 06, 2024 04:00PM UTC
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 6, 2024 and Nov 6, 2024)
0.000748
Oct 06, 2024 04:00PM UTC
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 6, 2024 and Oct 6, 2024)
0.00174
Sep 14, 2024 07:00PM UTC
Will Ali Khamenei flee Iran or cease to be Supreme Leader in the next year? (Scores for forecasts between Jun 14, 2024 and Sep 14, 2024)
0.004213
Sep 06, 2024 04:00PM UTC
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 6, 2024 and Sep 6, 2024)
0.005794
Aug 06, 2024 04:00PM UTC
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jul 6, 2024 and Aug 6, 2024)
0.001065
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