Some countries disagree or are far from that
1.574667
Relative Brier Score
6
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Badge
Star Commenter - Jun 2025
Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
46%
Yes
54%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Pressure
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
23%
Less than 2.3%
45%
More than or equal to 2.3% but less than 2.6%
27%
More than or equal to 2.6% but less than 2.9%
2%
More than or equal to 2.9% but less than 3.2%
3%
More than or equal to 3.2%
Why do you think you're right?
Average
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Too high on 2nd choice
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
Yes
98%
No
Why do you think you're right?
In full wealth apparently and not willing to end its power
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Accidents happen
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Less than or equal to 1
30%
Between 2 and 3, inclusive
58%
Between 4 and 5, inclusive
12%
More than or equal to 6
Why do you think you're right?
Statistics show between 3 and 5. Considering climate change, I think it's more
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Those figures are high, this is pessimistics and beyond experts forecast
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
21%
Yes
79%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Measures taken by the EU are more strict this year, the campaign is strong and the conflict with Russia deeply rooted forcing EU to respect their engagement.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Depending on the weather forecast, it might raise the amount especially for Q4
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Several persons are saying it is gonna be true
Why might you be wrong?
Some countries dont share NATO vision