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| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
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New Prediction
Will China, Russia, the U.S., or the EU publicly announce new economic or trade sanctions that specifically target a state-owned oil or gas entity in Egypt, Jordan, or the United Arab Emirates (UAE) by 30 June 2026?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
50%
(0%)
Yes
50%
(0%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
(0%)
Yes
30%
(0%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Yes
90%
(0%)
No
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Estonia
5%
(0%)
Latvia
5%
(0%)
Lithuania
Why do you think you're right?
The probability or a Russian invasion of the Baltics states is low. Russia cannot take on another conflict. The Ukraine conflict is consuming most of the military assets leaving little to spare for additional conflicts. Attacking the Baltic states is an attack on NATO. Russia cannot afford a war with NATO at the present time.
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Why might you be wrong?
Putin may take a gamble and bet on NATO not intervening.
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New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Estonia
5%
(0%)
Latvia
5%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
50%
(0%)
Yes
50%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Comment
The present China - Russia relations are working for both nations; A formal alliance is not in their best interest. I would not improve conditions in either country.
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