Confirmed previous forecast
0.02726
Relative Brier Score
9
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Geopolitical Security,
Iran: Threats & Influence,
Emerging Technology
Most Active Topics:
Iran Nuclear Program,
Mission: Diplomacy
New Prediction
Will Russia deliver the below weapons systems to Iran before 1 February 2025?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
16%
(0%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
10%
(0%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
16%
(-30%)
S-400 or S-500 missile system
10%
(-5%)
Su-35 fighter jets
Russia will need to preserve its most expensive and effective weaponry for the war on Ukraine. Additionally the training costs to make these weapon systems effective for Iran would be exceedingly high.
Files