-0.649553
Relative Brier Score
10
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Geopolitical Security,
Emerging Technology,
Russia-Ukraine War,
Iran: Threats & Influence,
Artificial Intelligence
Most Active Topics:
Mission: Diplomacy,
Mission: AI Advancement,
Decoding Disinformation,
Future Bowl,
Iran Nuclear Program
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?
It is not in the interest of either party to have such a pause.
Why might you be wrong?
Pigs may fly, but only on the rarest of occasions. There will almost certainly be a pause, but it will not last 30 days, unless we want to call it a mostly peaceful pause. That could happen, but I would submit that any Hamas attack constitutes an end to the pause whether people want to admit it or not.