Following team
-0.848382
Relative Brier Score
733
Forecasts
17
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 9 | 9 | 281 | 9 | 1986 |
| Comments | 5 | 5 | 126 | 5 | 250 |
| Questions Forecasted | 9 | 9 | 35 | 9 | 162 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 37 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Badge
Star Commenter - Jan 2026
Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
34%
Yes
66%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
-
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
100%
No
Why do you think you're right?
-
Files
Why might you be wrong?
-
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Yes
100%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Starting extremely pessimistic about UN peacekeeping prospects
Files
Why might you be wrong?
-
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Estonia
1%
(0%)
Latvia
2%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications
97%
(0%)
No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP
1%
(0%)
No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
16%
(+1%)
Yes
84%
(-1%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
adjusting
Files
Why might you be wrong?
-
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
(0%)
Moldova
1%
(0%)
Armenia
2%
(0%)
Georgia
0%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Starting below crowd. European interest on US is mixed with the political stress, and some countries are looking for more european alternatives. Naturally there is still many suppliers that are not US-heavy. Considering time as well
Why might you be wrong?
-