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Forecasted Questions

Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
23 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 30, 2026 02:57PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 5% 3%
No 95% 97%

Will human bioengineering activities cause a biological event of high consequence (pandemic, panzootic, or epiphytotic) before 1 January 2030?

Forecast Count:
13 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2030 05:00AM UTC
(4 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 30, 2026 02:57PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 2% 7%
No 98% 93%

Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
25 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 30, 2026 02:57PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Moldova 2% 5%
Armenia 0% 2%
Georgia 1% 3%
Kazakhstan 0% 1%

Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?

Forecast Count:
31 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 30, 2026 02:58PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Estonia 0% 3%
Latvia 0% 2%
Lithuania 0% 2%

How many people will earn research doctorates in microbiology and immunology fields in the U.S. between the 2026 and 2030 academic years?

Forecast Count:
6 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 30, 2026 02:58PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Less than or equal to 4,499 3% 8%
Between 4,500 and 4,999, inclusive 5% 11%
Between 5,000 and 5,499, inclusive 70% 73%
Between 5,500 and 5,999, inclusive 14% 6%
More than or equal to 6,000 8% 1%

Will any national government publicly declare that Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) has been achieved within that country by 31 July 2026?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(6 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 30, 2026 02:58PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 0% 1%
No 100% 99%

Will Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) take control of Bamako, Mali by 1 June 2026?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 02, 2026 03:59AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 30, 2026 02:58PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 5% 5%
No 95% 95%

Will Sudan’s Rapid Support Forces retake control over Khartoum city by 31 March 2026?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 30, 2026 02:58PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 1% 1%
No 99% 99%

Will Delcy Rodríguez be President of Venezuela on 30 April 2026?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 30, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 30, 2026 03:01PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 90% 88%
No 10% 12%

Will the average Arctic sea ice extent for March 2026 be the lowest on record for that month according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC)?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 30, 2026 03:08PM UTC
(3 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 50% 34%
No 50% 66%
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