Forecasted Questions
Will any branch of the U.S. military have hypersonic weapons operationally deployed with field units, aboard naval vessels, or on aircraft by 30 April 2026?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
May 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(3 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 18, 2026 08:50PM UTC
(15 days ago)
Jan 18, 2026 08:50PM UTC
(15 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40% | 35% | +5% | -22% |
| No | 60% | 65% | -5% | +22% |
Will Hezbollah and/or Amal Movement candidates maintain control of all Shia-majority seats in the 2026 Lebanese Parliament?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Jun 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 18, 2026 09:12PM UTC
(15 days ago)
Jan 18, 2026 09:12PM UTC
(15 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50% | 74% | -24% | +0% |
| No | 50% | 26% | +24% | +0% |
Who will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jun 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Jun 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(4 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Jan 18, 2026 09:18PM UTC
(15 days ago)
Jan 18, 2026 09:18PM UTC
(15 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iván Cepeda | 40% | 37% | +3% | +0% |
| Sergio Fajardo | 10% | 8% | +2% | -1% |
| Abelardo de la Espriella | 40% | 43% | -3% | -3% |
| Other | 10% | 12% | -2% | +4% |
Will another Chinese military base in an African country (excluding Djibouti) be under construction or established by 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
15 Forecasts
15 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 01, 2026 04:50PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Feb 01, 2026 04:50PM UTC
(1 day ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 15% | 15% | +0% | +0% |
| No | 85% | 85% | +0% | +0% |
Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
18 Forecasts
18 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 01, 2026 04:50PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Feb 01, 2026 04:50PM UTC
(1 day ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6% | 3% | +3% | 0% |
| No | 94% | 97% | -3% | 0% |
Will the O-RAN Alliance’s specifications be integrated into 3GPP before 1 January 2027?
Forecast Count:
18 Forecasts
18 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 01, 2026 04:50PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Feb 01, 2026 04:50PM UTC
(1 day ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications | 7% | 3% | +4% | 0% |
| No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP | 90% | 96% | -6% | +0% |
| No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP | 3% | 2% | +1% | +0% |
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
19 Forecasts
19 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 01, 2026 04:50PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Feb 01, 2026 04:50PM UTC
(1 day ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estonia | 1% | 3% | -2% | 0% |
| Latvia | 1% | 2% | -1% | 0% |
| Lithuania | 1% | 2% | -1% | +0% |
Will Russia invade Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and/or Kazakhstan before 1 April 2027?
Forecast Count:
19 Forecasts
19 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Apr 01, 2027 04:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 01, 2026 04:50PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Feb 01, 2026 04:50PM UTC
(1 day ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | 6% | 5% | +1% | +0% |
| Armenia | 1% | 2% | -1% | 0% |
| Georgia | 2% | 3% | -1% | 0% |
| Kazakhstan | 1% | 1% | +0% | 0% |
Will human bioengineering activities cause a biological event of high consequence (pandemic, panzootic, or epiphytotic) before 1 January 2030?
Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts
11 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2030 05:00AM UTC
(4 years from now)
Jan 01, 2030 05:00AM UTC
(4 years from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 01, 2026 04:50PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Feb 01, 2026 04:50PM UTC
(1 day ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 5% | 7% | -2% | +0% |
| No | 95% | 93% | +2% | +0% |
Will scientists successfully create a synthetic cell from chemically synthesized components by 1 January 2035?
Forecast Count:
4 Forecasts
4 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 01, 2026 04:50PM UTC
(1 day ago)
Feb 01, 2026 04:50PM UTC
(1 day ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | 12% | -8% | +0% |
| No | 96% | 88% | +8% | +0% |