starting
No Scores Yet
Relative Brier Score
18
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 15 | 18 | 336 | 18 | 2732 |
| Comments | 0 | 1 | 30 | 1 | 980 |
| Questions Forecasted | 15 | 18 | 75 | 18 | 355 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 159 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
Less than 8
25%
Between 8 and 11, inclusive
50%
Between 12 and 15, inclusive
20%
Between 16 and 19, inclusive
0%
More than or equal to 20
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
25%
Less than 2
35%
More than or equal to 2 but less than 5
25%
More than or equal to 5 but less than 8
15%
More than or equal to 8
Why do you think you're right?
starting
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(0%)
Yes
90%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
50%
(0%)
Yes
50%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Yes
98%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
50%
(0%)
Yes
50%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
(0%)
Yes
96%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
(0%)
Yes
95%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
starting
Why might you be wrong?