5th
Accuracy Rank

Heramb_42

About:
Show more

-0.842812

Relative Brier Score

148

Forecasts

4

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 9 188 148 423
Comments 0 1 33 24 61
Questions Forecasted 0 9 77 55 116
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 4 4 20
 Definitions
New Prediction
Heramb_42
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Estonia
0% (0%)
Latvia
0% (0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction

Time growing short

Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Heramb_42
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
4% (0%)
Yes
Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025
96% (0%)
No
Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Heramb_42
made their 4th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
45% (-10%)
Kharkiv
1% (0%)
Kyiv
1% (-1%)
Odesa
Why do you think you're right?

Air attacks are on the rise in Kharkiv, although this doesn't suggest that they will launch a ground offensive

Files
Why might you be wrong?

Might want to gain maximum land before a Trump presidency 

Files
New Prediction
Heramb_42
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
98% (0%)
Yes
2% (0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Heramb_42
made their 6th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025
100% (0%)
No
Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Heramb_42
made their 5th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1% (0%)
Yes
Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025
99% (0%)
No
Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Heramb_42
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Heramb_42
made their 3rd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Yes, the stockpile will be reduced by 100% to 0 kg
0% (0%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by 50% or more (>0 kg - 61.8 kg)
0% (-5%)
No, the stockpile will be reduced by less than 50% (>61.8 kg - 123.6 kg)
100% (+5%)
No, the stockpile will increase (>123.6 kg)

Following the crowd

Files
Files
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