137th
Accuracy Rank

Heramb_42

About:

- AI Policy research group Team Lead at Center for AI and Digital Policy
-Final year-undergrad at IIT Roorkee

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2025 Season Stats

0.344135

Relative Brier Score

224

Forecasts

14

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 
Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 15 247 224 670
Comments 0 7 167 163 228
Questions Forecasted 0 15 65 53 156
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 14 14 34
 Definitions
New Badge
Heramb_42 earned a new badge:

Star Commenter - Oct 2025

Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).
New Prediction
Will Russia invade Estonia, Latvia, and/or Lithuania before 1 April 2027?
Heramb_42 made their 11th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Estonia
0% (0%)
Latvia
0% (0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will North Korea engage in kinetic military action against a South Korean vessel, island, or other asset south of the Northern Limit Line in the Yellow Sea in the next six months?
Heramb_42 made their 7th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1% (0%)
Yes
Oct 30, 2025 to Apr 30, 2026
99% (0%)
No
Oct 30, 2025 to Apr 30, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will the O-RAN Alliance’s specifications be integrated into 3GPP before 1 January 2027?
Heramb_42 made their 7th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
5% (0%)
Yes, 3GPP will adopt and integrate O-RAN Alliance specifications
94% (0%)
No, the O-RAN Alliance will continue to develop specifications independently of 3GPP
1% (0%)
No, the O-RAN Alliance will stop developing specifications without being integrated into 3GPP
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel in the next six months?
Heramb_42 made their 15th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Oct 30, 2025 to Apr 30, 2026
100% (0%)
No
Oct 30, 2025 to Apr 30, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

highly unlikely with the shutdown, and razor-thin margins. Time also grows short

Files
Why might you be wrong?

Some sort of soft legislation, which is sector-specific like AI deepfakes or CSAM, might be feasible.

Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

No reason to

Files
Why might you be wrong?

Maybe if there is a recession and the US wants to protect it's own oil sale?

Files
Files
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