Confirmed previous forecast
1.887524
Relative Brier Score
289
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 2 | 2 | 21 | 2 | 289 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 93 |
| Questions Forecasted | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 59 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
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New Prediction
Will Western Asia and North African intra-regional exports equal or exceed 24% of total exports in 2025 or 2026, according to UNCTAD data?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
20%
(0%)
Yes
80%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
6%
(0%)
Moldova
2%
(0%)
Armenia
2%
(0%)
Georgia
2%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(0%)
Yes
80%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
6%
(0%)
Moldova
2%
(0%)
Armenia
2%
(0%)
Georgia
2%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 23, 2025 07:34PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 23, 2025 to May 23, 2026
98%
(0%)
No
Nov 23, 2025 to May 23, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Yes
80%
No
Why do you think you're right?
For this question, data from recent years shows that percentage has not been obtained.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
A new incentive in the area could push the trend
Files