SPECIAL NOTICE:
INFER is now the RAND Forecasting Initiative (RFI).
Learn more about RFI
.
Toggle navigation
FAQ
See Forecasts
Blog
Join Now
Sign In
Topics
Questions
The Question Lab
Filters
Status
Active
Coming Soon
Completed
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Season
All
All
2024 Season
2023 Season
2022 Season
2021 Season
2020 Season
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Forecasts
Number of Forecasters
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Topics
Select All
Artificial Intelligence (4)
only
China Politics, Relati... (1)
only
International Diplomac... (38)
only
Iran: Threats & Influence (16)
only
Microelectronic Techno... (1)
only
Russia-Ukraine War (8)
only
Science & Technology (12)
only
Show more
Tags
Select All
No Tags
only
Iran Nuclear Program (11)
only
Iran-VNSAs (5)
only
Open RAN (4)
only
Africa (3)
only
East Asia Security (3)
only
Russian Disinformation (3)
only
Economic Debt (2)
only
Cybersecurity (1)
only
Show less
Question
Crowd Forecast
Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?
Closing
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
·
155
·
1332
19%
Chance
In the next six months, will the Global Protest Tracker record an anti-government protest in Iran with 10,000 or more participants lasting at least a week?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
73
·
548
8%
Chance
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia publicly acknowledge that they are resuming the normalization process in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
112
·
784
0%
Chance
Will Iran launch missiles or conduct an airstrike against U.S. forces in the next six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
113
·
784
2%
Chance
Will the Houthi movement and Yemen reach a ceasefire that is in effect on 31 December 2024 and lasts at least six months?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
61
·
533
0%
Chance
Files
Remove
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel