PeterStamp

About:

My name is Peter Stamp. I´m a 1971 born german financial advisor and insurance broker.

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2024 Season Stats

-0.556619

Relative Brier Score

1608

Forecasts

259

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 
Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 35 149 2161 247 5259
Comments 9 24 571 38 879
Questions Forecasted 34 35 87 36 217
Upvotes on Comments By This User 1 4 113 6 829
 Definitions
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Status quo (November 2025):  328.149, again minimally down from the last report. Next release: 24 February.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CSUSHPINSA

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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Old age might be a problem, but not really with only one month till the election. About 1% for that.

Base rate 100% in his favor. Weak opposition.

" In the event of a contested result, the question will resolve based on official results. ". Those will be in his favor 99%.

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New Prediction
What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups in the U.S. be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?
PeterStamp made their 30th forecast (view all):
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Probability
Answer
30% (0%)
Less than $350 million
30% (0%)
More than or equal to $350 million but less than $450 million
20% (0%)
More than or equal to $450 million but less than $550 million
15% (0%)
More than or equal to $550 million but less than $650 million
5% (0%)
More than or equal to $650 million
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
What will the total amount of seed funding for biotech startups globally be in 2025 and 2026 combined, according to Labiotech?
PeterStamp made their 30th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
83% (0%)
Less than $1 billion
12% (0%)
More than or equal to $1 billion but less than $1.2 billion
4% (0%)
More than or equal to $1.2 billion but less than $1.4 billion
1% (0%)
More than or equal to $1.4 billion but less than $1.6 billion
0% (0%)
More than or equal to $1.6 billion
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

time

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Why might you be wrong?

x

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New Prediction
How many people will earn research doctorates in microbiology and immunology fields in the U.S. between the 2026 and 2030 academic years?
PeterStamp made their 27th forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
1% (0%)
Less than or equal to 4,499
9% (0%)
Between 4,500 and 4,999, inclusive
80% (0%)
Between 5,000 and 5,499, inclusive
9% (0%)
Between 5,500 and 5,999, inclusive
1% (0%)
More than or equal to 6,000
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Time without frightening news

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x

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