142nd
Accuracy Rank

PeterStamp

About:
Show more

-0.432013

Relative Brier Score

4854

Forecasts

815

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 47 190 2190 2053 4854
Comments 12 58 602 567 798
Questions Forecasted 45 45 101 89 208
Upvotes on Comments By This User 2 4 140 127 815
 Definitions


New Prediction
PeterStamp
made their 6th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
30% (-6%)
Less than $21.0 billion
45% (+6%)
More than or equal to $21.0 billion but less than $22.5 billion
20% (0%)
More than or equal to $22.5 billion but less than $23.5 billion
4% (0%)
More than or equal to $23.5 billion but less than $25.0 billion
1% (0%)
More than or equal to $25.0 billion
Why do you think you're right?

x

Files
Why might you be wrong?

x

Files
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Bad news :-( Shootings and air strikes in several locations. I had not expected that at all.

https://www.tagesschau.de/ausland/asien/thailand-luftangriff-kambodscha-100.html

Files
Why might you be wrong?

x

Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

time

Files
Why might you be wrong?

x

Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
PeterStamp
made their 78th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2% (0%)
Yes
Dec 6, 2025 to Jun 6, 2026
98% (0%)
No
Dec 6, 2025 to Jun 6, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
PeterStamp
made their 102nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
3% (0%)
Moldova
0% (0%)
Armenia
2% (0%)
Georgia
0% (0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username