Passage of time.
-1.676441
Relative Brier Score
362
Forecasts
19
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 1 | 1 | 34 | 1 | 362 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| Questions Forecasted | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 50 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Mission: Diplomacy,
Iran Nuclear Program,
Decoding Disinformation,
Semiconductor Supply Chain,
Iran-VNSAs
New Prediction
New Badge
Top Forecaster - Dec 2024
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-2%)
Yes
100%
(+2%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-2%)
Yes
100%
(+2%)
No
Passage of time.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(-2%)
Yes
98%
(+2%)
No
Passage of time.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
(-4%)
Yes
96%
(+4%)
No
Passage of time.
Files
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Based on the recent news.
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