tguanangui

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8.410192

Relative Brier Score

59

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 1 5 5 59
Comments 0 1 3 3 29
Questions Forecasted 0 1 4 4 30
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions


New Badge
tguanangui
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Actual problems with several IA enterprises would not help to raise confidence on their models.  They need to be tested and analized to verify if they were trained correctly, moreover, the quality of data also needs to be validated.

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Why might you be wrong?

Models were developed with data of high quality

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New Prediction
tguanangui
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
20%
Estonia
20%
Latvia
20%
Lithuania
Why do you think you're right?

Russia is under the view of United Nations, USA and UE.

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Why might you be wrong?

Putin breaks diplomatic relationships with those countries

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New Prediction
tguanangui
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0% (0%)
Less than 30 days
51% (0%)
30 days
19% (0%)
31-60 days
16% (0%)
61-90 days
14% (0%)
91 days or more
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
tguanangui
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
tguanangui
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
tguanangui
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0%
Less than 30 days
51%
30 days
19%
31-60 days
16%
61-90 days
14%
91 days or more
Why do you think you're right?

Zelensky does not accept help from USA.

Files
Why might you be wrong?

People suffering demands Zelensky to act.

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New Prediction
tguanangui
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Oct 29, 2024 01:54AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
29% (0%)
Yes
Sep 29, 2024 to Mar 29, 2025
71% (0%)
No
Sep 29, 2024 to Mar 29, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
tguanangui
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

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