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- 4th and 27th of jan there have been tests, if that rate continues there will be several tests before march 31st
- seems like they are not planning to slow down when it comes to weapons development https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/28/north-koreas-kim-to-outline-plans-to-boost-nuclear-arsenal
- cant find any news on elections coming up and I don't think this is in the US interest as the Delcy Rodríguez seems to be listening to their requests
if she starts refusing to do whatever the US wants her to do I think it can be over very quickly, but I expect she will continue to do what they want her to do
not sure about usual timelines between field testing and being officially operational
lowering for time and a win for Sudan's military https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/27/sudan-army-says-nearly-two-year-rsf-siege-of-key-town-broken
time left
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Why do you think you're right?
Scale and size have been ramping up, I dont see why china would not enter the zone next exercise if the already did it before. Question is more so, how likely is it that another large scale exercise takes place before end of July. april-dec is 8 months, another 8 months would be august but I think their frequency will rather speed up than slow down
Why might you be wrong?
expecting frequency of the large exercises to go up