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You submit a forecasting question you’d like to see published on RFI (read the guidance for question submissions).

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You, admins, and other forecasters collaborate and iterate on the question details to make sure it's well formed and includes answer options for all possible outcomes.

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Forecasters vote on suggested questions to surface topics that are of most interest to the community.

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An admin will make a final decision and publish the best questions for forecasting.

Pending Published Archived
Pinned Question Votes Question Author Status Submitted
/ Last Edited
Pinned Question
-1
Will Mexico have its National Cybersecurity Law before 2030, considering that Mexico has just presented its National Cybersecurity Plan 2025-2030?
Victor-Olav-S-nchez
Open 12/14/25 05:43am 12/14/25 06:31pm
Pinned Question
0
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030? The reason is that Xi Jinping is age 72, date of birth June 15, 1953. By 2030 he will be 77. Also, by 2030 will reach the goal of tech reliance, "green growth" and "Healthy China 2023." This means less reliance on Western nations for technology and energy. It is likely that Xi Jinping will like to unify all China when he is healthy, in control of the country. It is unlikely to wait until he is older to achieve the one China goal.
HatCat
Open 12/09/25 03:14pm 12/09/25 03:14pm
Pinned Question
0
Within the next 48 months, what is the probability that Mexico will establish an “intermediate security force” and approve a security interior framework regulating its operation, under any of the following models:
• Scenario A: Integrated within the Ministry of Defense (SEDENA)
• Scenario B: Under the National Guard with civilian command and quasi-military discipline
• Scenario C: A new specialized civilian corps inspired by international models (e.g., French Gendarmerie, Italian Carabinieri, Spanish Guardia Civil, Chilean Carabineros)
Carlosmartinez
Open 12/06/25 03:34am 12/06/25 03:34am
Pinned Question
-1
¿Reducirá el Estado mexicano, entre enero y junio de 2026, al menos un 10 % las tomas clandestinas de hidrocarburos respecto al mismo periodo de 2025, considerando las políticas federales vigentes de seguridad energética y control del robo de combustibles?
charly-yellow
Open 11/30/25 06:09pm 12/05/25 06:01pm
Pinned Question
-1
¿Continuará incrementando la participación del Ejército Mexicano en funciones de Seguridad Pública al terminar el sexenio de Claudia Sheinbaum, considerando el precedente establecido durante el sexenio de Felipe Calderón y los posteriores presidentes?
Yeimi_Cardoso
Open 11/30/25 02:29am 12/05/25 06:01pm
Pinned Question
0
When will the government shutdown end?
ishmael
Open 10/29/25 08:47pm 10/29/25 08:47pm
Pinned Question
-1
¿El gobierno de México anunciará en 2026 un plan de inversión pública superior al 3 % del PIB enfocado en infraestructura verde (energías renovables, transporte limpio, agua)?
Dany-Uribe
Open 10/01/25 05:38am 10/04/25 08:23pm
Pinned Question
-1
¿Rusia y China anunciarán públicamente una nueva alianza militar formal antes de finales de 2026?
Dany-Uribe
Open 10/01/25 05:35am 12/09/25 03:01pm
Pinned Question
1
Will the United States formally withdraw from the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA) in 2026?
grantvsir2025
Open 09/10/25 05:08pm 09/24/25 05:26pm
Pinned Question
0
Will the Trump administration deport 1 million foreign nationals from the United States in 2026?
grantvsir2025
Open 09/08/25 01:44am 09/11/25 09:43pm
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