« Back to topics

Quickfire Forecasts

Closing
Oct 02, 2026 09:00PM UTC (8 months)

Build structured judgment and calibration through a rotating set of short-term forecasting questions across a range of topics.
Rank Username No. of Questions Forecasted Relative Brier Score
1
FencingQueen
1 -0.878405
2
Elenedhel
4 -0.477453
3
Ted
2 -0.431262
4
tonio
21 -0.377527
5
ShamirS21
1 -0.372167
6
Mikel_117
3 -0.356887
7
Perspectus
16 -0.347178
8
RUN_RWC
22 -0.336312
9
ScottEastman
21 -0.332796
10
khaz
20 -0.322994
11
Rene
21 -0.312629
12
santamonicaowl
7 -0.294462
13
nowhereman
20 -0.291124
14
SeriousSculpin
2 -0.283277
15
winkelby
5 -0.252282
16
urlocalweatherman
6 -0.228505
17
Martina10
1 -0.226854
18
Luis-Alberto-Palacios
2 -0.21295
19
policyology
20 -0.206997
20
Benjamin-Shindel
6 -0.190094
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username