Rene

Rene Scheffers
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Living in The Netherlands

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2026 Season Stats

No Scores Yet

Relative Brier Score

119

Forecasts

10

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 
Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 35 115 1655 119 2419
Comments 18 40 630 41 762
Questions Forecasted 33 52 108 52 120
Upvotes on Comments By This User 4 10 154 10 334
 Definitions
New Badge
Rene earned a new badge:

Power Forecaster - Jan 2026

Earned for making 20+ forecasts in a month.
New Badge
Rene earned a new badge:

Star Commenter - Jan 2026

Earned for making 5+ comments in a month (rationales not included).
New Prediction
How many successful orbital launches will SpaceX conduct between 1 February and 31 July 2026, inclusive?
Rene made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
5% (-3%)
Less than 70
20% (-15%)
Between 70 and 79, inclusive
52% (+17%)
Between 80 and 89, inclusive
18% (+3%)
Between 90 and 99, inclusive
5% (-2%)
More than or equal to 100
Why do you think you're right?

Recalculated

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Why might you be wrong?

N/A

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New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?

Adjusting after reading comments

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Why might you be wrong?

N/A

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New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Badge
Rene earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Files
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