50th

Accuracy Rank

DimaKlenchin

Dima Klenchin

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Top Forecaster - Jun 2025

Top Forecaster - Dec 2024

Oracle - Silver

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Forecasted Questions

Will scientists successfully create a synthetic cell from chemically synthesized components by 1 January 2035?

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 28, 2025 03:15PM UTC
(12 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	5%	10%	-5%	+0%
No	95%	90%	+5%	+0%

How many of the 19 G20 member countries will have recognized the State of Palestine before 1 Feb 2026?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Feb 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 29, 2025 03:39AM UTC
(12 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
19	0%	0%	+0%	+0%
18	0%	0%	+0%	+0%
17	1%	1%	+0%	+0%
16 or fewer	99%	99%	+0%	+0%

Will at least one European country or the European Union (EU) collectively commit to providing Ukraine with HIMARS-compatible rocket artillery systems or functional substitutes by 31 December 2025?

Forecast Count:
13 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(22 days from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 29, 2025 03:44AM UTC
(12 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	13%	19%	-6%	-8%
No	87%	81%	+6%	+8%

How much more military aid will European countries allocate to Ukraine compared to the U.S. between 24 January 2022 and 31 December 2025?

Forecast Count:
12 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(22 days from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 29, 2025 03:51AM UTC
(12 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Europe allocates the same amount or less than the U.S.	0%	0%	+0%	+0%
More than €0 but less than €10 billion	0%	1%	-1%	+0%
At least €10 billion but less than €20 billion	2%	6%	-4%	+1%
At least €20 billion but less than €30 billion	60%	52%	+8%	+2%
€30 billion or more	38%	41%	-3%	-3%

What will the average employment rate in OECD countries be in 2025?

Forecast Count:
15 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(22 days from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 29, 2025 03:54AM UTC
(12 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 62%	0%	0%	+0%	0%
More than or equal to 62% but less than 66%	0%	0%	+0%	0%
More than or equal to 66% but less than 70%	1%	4%	-3%	-1%
More than or equal to 70% but less than 74%	99%	96%	+3%	+1%
More than or equal to 74%	0%	0%	+0%	0%

Will the European “Coalition of the Willing” deploy forces to Ukraine in 2025?

Forecast Count:
11 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(22 days from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 29, 2025 03:56AM UTC
(12 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	0%	1%	-1%	+0%
No	100%	99%	+1%	+0%

If a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict goes into effect in 2025, how long will it last?

Forecast Count:
13 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(22 days from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 29, 2025 03:59AM UTC
(12 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Less than 30 days	30%	68%	-38%	+0%
30 days	5%	6%	-1%	+0%
31-60 days	20%	6%	+14%	+0%
61-90 days	20%	5%	+15%	+0%
91 days or more	25%	16%	+9%	+1%

Will at least two European NATO members sign new, publicly announced major defense procurement contracts (over €1 billion each) with non-European suppliers by 31 July 2026?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 29, 2025 05:34AM UTC
(11 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	55%	80%	-25%	+9%
No	45%	20%	+25%	-9%

Will any country announce a new national carbon tax or emissions trading system by 31 July 2026?

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Aug 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC
(8 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 29, 2025 05:38AM UTC
(11 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	50%	64%	-14%	-5%
No	50%	37%	+14%	+5%

Will Huawei sell or announce plans to sell Open RAN equipment before 1 January 2027?

Forecast Count:
22 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 29, 2025 03:19PM UTC
(11 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	2%	3%	-1%	+0%
No	98%	97%	+1%	+0%