Confirmed previous forecast
-0.340823
Relative Brier Score
504
Forecasts
2
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 2 | 5 | 102 | 114 | 504 |
| Comments | 1 | 1 | 34 | 37 | 43 |
| Questions Forecasted | 2 | 5 | 26 | 29 | 69 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Geopolitical Security,
Iran: Threats & Influence,
Emerging Technology,
Russia-Ukraine War,
Artificial Intelligence
Most Active Topics:
Iran Nuclear Program,
Iran-VNSAs,
Africa,
Open RAN,
Economic Debt
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
88%
(0%)
U.S. Entity
76%
(0%)
Non-U.S. Entity
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(0%)
Yes
85%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Estonia
1%
(0%)
Latvia
1%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(0%)
Moldova
0%
(0%)
Armenia
1%
(0%)
Georgia
0%
(0%)
Kazakhstan
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Top Forecaster - Dec 2025
Earned for being in the Top 10% of the leaderboard in a month.
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 21, 2025 to Jun 21, 2026
99%
(0%)
No
Dec 21, 2025 to Jun 21, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 21, 2025 to Jun 21, 2026
100%
(0%)
No
Dec 21, 2025 to Jun 21, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 21, 2025 to Jun 21, 2026
100%
(0%)
No
Dec 21, 2025 to Jun 21, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
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Why might you be wrong?
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