Confirmed previous forecast
-0.001773
Relative Brier Score
24
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 24 |
| Comments | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Geopolitical Security,
Russia-Ukraine War,
Emerging Technology,
Artificial Intelligence,
Quickfire Forecasts
Most Active Topics:
East Asia Security,
Russia-Europe
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
16%
(0%)
Yes
84%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Dec 26, 2025 to Jun 26, 2026
99%
(0%)
No
Dec 26, 2025 to Jun 26, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
16%
(0%)
Yes
84%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 25, 2025 10:16PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 25, 2025 to May 25, 2026
99%
(0%)
No
Nov 25, 2025 to May 25, 2026
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
I am
Why might you be wrong?
i'm not