RAND Forecasting Initiative

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Emerging Technology (19) only
Forecaster Submissions (2) only
Geopolitical Security (24) only
Quickfire Forecasts (8) only
Russia-Ukraine War (10) only

Crowd Forecast

What will be the risk index score for the perceived threat posed by Russia to Germany in the 2026 Munich Security Report?

Closed Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC · 71 · 645

What will be Germany’s net perception of Ukraine in the 2026 Munich Security Report?

Closed Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC · 70 · 600

What is the % risk of WW3 starting in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between May 9, 2022 and May 16, 2022)

Closed May 16, 2022 09:17AM UTC · 0 · 0

0%

Chance

What is the % risk of WW3 starting in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between May 2, 2022 and May 9, 2022)

Closed May 09, 2022 09:17AM UTC · 0 · 0

0%

Chance

What is the % risk of WW3 starting in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Apr 25, 2022 and May 2, 2022)

Closed May 02, 2022 09:17AM UTC · 0 · 0

0%

Chance

What is the % risk of WW3 starting in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Apr 19, 2022 and Apr 26, 2022)

Closed Apr 26, 2022 09:17AM UTC · 0 · 0

0%

Chance