RAND Forecasting Initiative

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Will the U.S. federal government enact legislation that substantively regulates or authorizes regulation of artificial intelligence systems or their development before 1 January 2026?

Closed Jan 01, 2026 05:01AM UTC · 99 · 579

Will the United States implement new or expanded export controls on advanced AI chips, cloud access to AI computing, and/or AI model weights in 2025?

Closed Jan 01, 2026 05:01AM UTC · 67 · 425