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Question
Your Score
Will the U.S. federal government enact legislation that substantively regulates or authorizes regulation of artificial intelligence systems or their development before 1 January 2026?
Closed
Jan 01, 2026 05:01AM UTC
·
99
·
579
Will the United States implement new or expanded export controls on advanced AI chips, cloud access to AI computing, and/or AI model weights in 2025?
Closed
Jan 01, 2026 05:01AM UTC
·
67
·
425
In the next 12 months, will a Large Language Model built by a Chinese organization rank in the top 3 overall on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 7, 2024 and Jan 23, 2025)
Closed
Jan 23, 2025 05:00PM UTC
·
88
·
231
In the next 12 months, will a Large Language Model built by a Chinese organization rank in the top 3 overall on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard?
Closed
Jan 23, 2025 05:00PM UTC
·
88
·
231
What percentage of global semiconductor revenue will come from the Americas region in 2024?
Closed
Feb 14, 2025 06:00PM UTC
·
54
·
321
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
Closed
May 31, 2025 05:00PM UTC
·
225
·
1668
Will a North American testing center (OTIC) issue an O-RAN Certificate between 1 April 2024 and 31 March 2025?
Closed
Apr 28, 2025 01:00PM UTC
·
60
·
618
Will at least five more exoplanets be found to be potentially habitable between 1 February 2024 and 31 December 2024?
Closed
Jan 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
104
·
608
By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?
Closed
Jan 01, 2025 05:01AM UTC
·
269
·
1186
How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for October, November, and December 2023 combined?
Closed
Jan 17, 2024 05:00PM UTC
·
77
·
400
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