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Question
Your Score
In the next 12 months, will a Large Language Model built by a Chinese organization rank in the top 3 overall on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 7, 2024 and Jan 23, 2025)
Closed
Jan 23, 2025 05:00PM UTC
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88
·
231
In the next 12 months, will a Large Language Model built by a Chinese organization rank in the top 3 overall on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard?
Closed
Jan 23, 2025 05:00PM UTC
·
88
·
231
Will at least five more exoplanets be found to be potentially habitable between 1 February 2024 and 31 December 2024?
Closed
Jan 31, 2025 05:00AM UTC
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104
·
608
By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?
Closed
Jan 01, 2025 05:01AM UTC
·
269
·
1186
How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for October, November, and December 2023 combined?
Closed
Jan 17, 2024 05:00PM UTC
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77
·
400
Will a moon mission land safely on the moon between 1 September 2023 and 31 May 2024, inclusive?
Closed
Jan 19, 2024 03:26PM UTC
·
98
·
428
Will the price of the rare earth compound dysprosium oxide equal or exceed $1000 per kg before 1 July 2024?
Closed
Jul 01, 2024 04:01AM UTC
·
103
·
752
Will a new song with AI-generated vocals be streamed over 10 million times on Spotify before 1 June 2024?
Closed
Sep 12, 2023 09:00PM UTC
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117
·
506
Will an AI-generated film or episode be released by Netflix, Hulu, Disney+, Max, Apple TV+, or Amazon Prime before 1 September 2023?
Closed
Sep 01, 2023 04:01AM UTC
·
100
·
278
Before 1 June 2024, will Facebook, WhatsApp, Messenger, or Twitter announce that they are labeling posts as potentially written by AI?
Closed
Jun 01, 2024 04:00AM UTC
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272
·
1357
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