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250th
Accuracy Rank
David-Urbansky
David Urbansky
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2020 Season
2024 Season
2021 Season
2023 Season
2022 Season
2025 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Emerging Technology
Forecaster Submissions
Formerly on Foretell
Geopolitical Security
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Quickfire Forecasts
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
Biotech
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Emerging Tech - AI
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
MENA
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mirror Life
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russia-Europe
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Oct 01, 2025 02:45PM UTC
How many major hurricanes (Category 3 or above) will make landfall in the continental United States between 1 June 2025 and 30 September 2025?
0.95367
Oct 01, 2025 02:45PM UTC
How many incidents of political violence will there be in Mexico in August 2025?
0.183023
Oct 01, 2025 02:45PM UTC
Will hostilities between Pakistan and India result in at least 100 total uniformed casualties (with at least one death) between 2 June 2025 and 30 September 2025?
0.068725
Oct 01, 2025 02:45PM UTC
According to U.S. Customs and Border Protection, will there be at least 37 million inbound travelers to the U.S. in July 2025?
1.224758
Oct 01, 2025 02:45PM UTC
According to U.S. Customs and Border Protection, will the U.S. seize at least 50,000 pounds of drugs in July 2025?
0.502325
Aug 01, 2025 04:01AM UTC
Will all NATO members agree to a defense spending target of 5% of GDP by 31 July 2025?
-0.061023
Aug 01, 2025 04:01AM UTC
Will the United States and Iran announce a new nuclear deal before 1 August 2025?
0.498241
Jul 24, 2025 04:00PM UTC
Will the share of battery-electric vehicles among new registered cars in the EU exceed 20% by the second quarter of 2025?
0.010549
Jun 21, 2025 11:50PM UTC
Will the United States launch a kinetic strike against Iran before 1 August 2025?
1.3842
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