RAND Forecasting Initiative

Crowd Forecast

Will Western Asia and North African intra-regional exports equal or exceed 24% of total exports in 2025 or 2026, according to UNCTAD data?

Closing Jan 01, 2027 05:00AM UTC · 30 · 60

21%

Chance

Will China, Russia, the U.S., or the EU publicly announce new economic or trade sanctions that specifically target a state-owned oil or gas entity in Egypt, Jordan, or the United Arab Emirates (UAE) by 30 June 2026?

Closing Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC · 50 · 105

2%

Chance

Will a new multilateral security agreement involving at least three Middle East and North Africa (MENA) states (excluding Iran, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Israel) be publicly announced by 30 June 2026?

Closing Jul 01, 2026 04:00AM UTC · 52 · 149

11%

Chance