Best of 2024
Most Accurate Forecaster
The forecasters with the best Relative Brier Score
1.
|
-1.61 |
2.
|
-1.59 |
3.
|
-1.4 |
4.
|
-1.02 |
5.
|
-0.98 |
Best Relative Brier Score Per Question
The forecasters who had the best Relative Brier Score per question
|
1.
|
-0.07 |
2.
|
-0.06 |
3.
|
-0.06 |
|
4.
|
-0.05 |
5.
|
-0.04 |
Most Questions Forecasted
The forecasters who made forecasts on the most questions
|
1.
|
80 |
2.
|
78 |
|
3.
|
78 |
|
4.
|
77 |
|
5.
|
76 |
Most Forecasts
The forecasters who made the most total forecasts
|
1.
|
1927 |
|
2.
|
1608 |
|
3.
|
1499 |
4.
|
946 |
|
5.
|
849 |
Most Forecasts Per Question
The forecasters with the highest average number of forecasts per question
|
1.
|
24.71 |
|
2.
|
22.97 |
3.
|
21.05 |
|
4.
|
21.0 |
|
5.
|
18.74 |
Most Upvotes Received
The forecasters whose comments received the most upvotes
1.
|
414 |
|
2.
|
391 |
3.
|
333 |
4.
|
243 |
|
5.
|
203 |
Most Source Links Contributed
The forecasters who contributed the most original source links
1.
|
699 |
2.
|
412 |
|
3.
|
408 |
4.
|
403 |
|
5.
|
354 |
Most Mentioned Forecaster
The forecasters who was mentioned most often in other forecaster's comments
1.
|
258 |
|
2.
|
174 |
3.
|
156 |
|
4.
|
133 |
5.
|
97 |
Most Cited Domains
The domains most often cited by forecasters in forecast rationales & comments
| 1.reuters.com | 454 |
| 2.aljazeera.com | 259 |
| 3.theguardian.com | 213 |
| 4.nytimes.com | 194 |
| 5.timesofisrael.com | 191 |
| 6.en.wikipedia.org | 171 |
| 7.bbc.com | 160 |
| 8.apnews.com | 157 |
| 9.wsj.com | 155 |
| 10.twitter.com | 134 |