Yes
2.624028
Relative Brier Score
40
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 40 |
| Comments | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
| Questions Forecasted | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
Most Active Topics:
Geopolitical Security,
Emerging Technology,
Iran: Threats & Influence,
Russia-Ukraine War,
Quickfire Forecasts
Most Active Topics:
Decoding Disinformation,
Iran Nuclear Program,
Future Bowl,
Iran-VNSAs,
Russia-Europe
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
45%
Yes
55%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
60%
(0%)
Yes
40%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Less than 30 days
35%
(0%)
30 days
0%
(0%)
31-60 days
65%
(0%)
61-90 days
0%
(0%)
91 days or more
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Yes
80%
No
Why do you think you're right?
Very likely
Files
Why might you be wrong?
No
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Yes
Why might you be wrong?
No