Confirmed previous forecast
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Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 33 | 119 | 1132 | 1007 | 4697 |
| Comments | 0 | 6 | 161 | 149 | 209 |
| Questions Forecasted | 33 | 33 | 90 | 75 | 177 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 175 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
55%
(0%)
Yes
45%
(0%)
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(0%)
Yes
85%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
(0%)
Less than $21.0 billion
40%
(0%)
More than or equal to $21.0 billion but less than $22.5 billion
24%
(0%)
More than or equal to $22.5 billion but less than $23.5 billion
10%
(0%)
More than or equal to $23.5 billion but less than $25.0 billion
6%
(0%)
More than or equal to $25.0 billion
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(-1%)
Togo
Why do you think you're right?
time
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
22%
(-1%)
Yes
78%
(+1%)
No
Why do you think you're right?
time
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
19
1%
(0%)
18
1%
(0%)
17
98%
(0%)
16 or fewer
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(0%)
Yes
85%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
40%
(0%)
Yes
60%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Why might you be wrong?