RAND Forecasting Initiative

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Emerging Technology (19) only
Forecaster Submissions (2) only
Geopolitical Security (24) only
Quickfire Forecasts (8) only
Russia-Ukraine War (10) only

Your Score

How many German-language disinformation cases originating in pro-Kremlin media will there be between 1 October 2024 and 30 September 2025?

Closed Oct 01, 2025 04:00PM UTC · 118 · 803

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 July 2025?

Closed Jul 01, 2025 04:01AM UTC · 234 · 1498

Will 100 or more people be killed or injured in a Russian attack on the city of Kyiv before 1 June 2024?

Closed Jun 28, 2024 04:00PM UTC · 82 · 160

Will the U.S. Congress pass a military aid package supporting Ukraine worth at least $10 billion before 1 May 2024?

Closed Apr 24, 2024 01:10AM UTC · 38 · 87

Will Russia initiate a major ground offensive to attack the following Ukrainian cities before 31 December 2024?

Closed Jan 01, 2025 05:01AM UTC · 94 · 805

What percentage of Ukrainian territory will be held by Russia in December 2023?

Closed Dec 30, 2023 02:16PM UTC · 135 · 720

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?

Closed May 01, 2024 04:01AM UTC · 548 · 2016

Will a European country announce that they are sending fighter jets to Ukraine by 30 April 2023?

Closed Mar 17, 2023 02:12PM UTC · 96 · 233

What will be the highest average price recorded for a gallon of diesel in the U.S. between 6 Feb 2023 and 10 Apr 2023?

Closed Apr 10, 2023 09:00PM UTC · 76 · 206

Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 3, 2023 and Mar 1, 2023)

Closed Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC · 113 · 309