RAND Forecasting Initiative

Your Score

Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Apr 1, 2025 and Oct 12, 2025)

Closed Oct 12, 2025 03:27PM UTC · 69 · 463

Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Mar 1, 2025 and Apr 1, 2025)

Closed Apr 01, 2025 07:00PM UTC · 47 · 118

Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Feb 1, 2025 and Mar 1, 2025)

Closed Mar 01, 2025 07:00PM UTC · 49 · 116

Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 1, 2025 and Feb 1, 2025)

Closed Feb 01, 2025 07:00PM UTC · 44 · 117

Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 1, 2024 and Jan 1, 2025)

Closed Jan 01, 2025 07:00PM UTC · 41 · 112

Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 1, 2024 and Dec 1, 2024)

Closed Dec 01, 2024 07:00PM UTC · 36 · 105

Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 1, 2024 and Nov 1, 2024)

Closed Nov 01, 2024 07:00PM UTC · 45 · 121

Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 29, 2024 and Oct 1, 2024)

Closed Oct 01, 2024 07:00PM UTC · 49 · 93

Will there be a successful coup d’état in Africa in the next six months?

Closed Oct 12, 2025 03:27PM UTC · 95 · 838