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Question
Crowd Forecast
Will the China Coast Guard or PLA Navy attempt to anchor one or more of their vessels on or near one of the disputed maritime features in the South China Sea before 1 January 2025?
Closed
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
12
·
17
4%
Chance
What will be the percent increase in the number of disinformation cases discussing Germany, originating in pro-Kremlin media, between 1 October 2024 and 30 September 2025, compared to the same period one year prior?
Closed
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
·
12
·
24
Will war break out between Hezbollah and Israel in the next month?
Closed
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
·
73
·
135
7%
Chance
Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear facility in the next 6 months?
Closed
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
·
60
·
77
13%
Chance
How many members will be part of the Gold Hydrogen Program on 29 February 2024?
Closed
Feb 29, 2024 05:00AM UTC
·
24
·
40
Will North Korea launch an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) on or before 31 March 2023?
Closed
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
·
9
·
10
96%
Chance
Will more U.S. patent applications mentioning both “quantum computing” and “artificial intelligence” be filed in 2023 than in 2022?
Closed
Jan 01, 2024 04:59AM UTC
·
44
·
61
77%
Chance
By 31 March 2023, will the U.S. Department of Agriculture ban cultured meat companies from labeling their products as “meat” in the U.S.?
Closed
Apr 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
·
20
·
21
8%
Chance
Will the cost of sequencing a human genome drop below $100 before 1 September 2023?
Closed
Sep 01, 2023 03:59AM UTC
·
101
·
465
4%
Chance
By 31 December 2022, how much money will the U.S. appropriate to the Department of Educations’ STEAM and Computer Science Grants for FY23?
Closed
Jan 01, 2023 04:59AM UTC
·
26
·
45
1
2
3
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