| Rank | Username | No. of Questions Forecasted | Relative Brier Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
14 | -1.386083 |
| 2 |
|
25 | -1.346216 |
| 3 |
|
1 | -0.901513 |
| 4 |
|
26 | -0.893458 |
| 5 |
|
20 | -0.864181 |
| 6 |
|
26 | -0.80411 |
| 7 |
|
11 | -0.66065 |
| 8 |
|
24 | -0.641988 |
| 9 |
|
5 | -0.575842 |
| 10 |
|
8 | -0.524292 |
| 11 |
|
4 | -0.518489 |
| 12 |
|
2 | -0.510365 |
| 13 |
|
5 | -0.496033 |
| 14 |
|
13 | -0.478702 |
| 15 |
|
1 | -0.477962 |
| 16 |
|
6 | -0.463273 |
| 17 |
|
2 | -0.440464 |
| 18 |
|
7 | -0.438524 |
| 19 |
|
1 | -0.399733 |
| 20 |
|
3 | -0.382999 |
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Iran: Threats & Influence
Closing
May 10, 2025 12:46AM UTC
(7 months ago)
Forecasting questions related to Iran's nuclear development, foreign relations, and influence on violent non-state actors.